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New Zealand's manufacturing performance index in November was 45.5, with the previous value of 45.8.Chip-concentrated stocks clustered in four major industries, and 43 stocks fell for more than three consecutive periods. According to the statistics of Securities Times and DataBao, as of December 12, 300 stocks disclosed the number of shareholders in the latest period, compared with the previous period (November 30), there were 162 stocks with a decrease in the number of shareholders. Specifically, the number of shareholders in 29 stocks decreased by more than 5%, and the number of shareholders in 5 stocks decreased by more than 10%, including Dongfang Huanyu, Zhongshe, Baina Qiancheng, Midland New Materials and Hengshuai. Many chip-concentrated stocks have performed well in the recent market. According to the statistics of DataBao, the average share capital of 126 chips has increased by 4.86% since last month, and the cumulative increase of 18 stocks is above 10%. The top gainers are Guoan Da, Beiwei Technology and Silk Road Vision, which have increased by 42.5%, 26.18% and 21.44% respectively. From the industry point of view, the number of chip concentrated stocks is the largest in the four major industries of mechanical equipment, power equipment, electronics, medicine and biology.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.

A number of data show that: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. The data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (from September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, and the stock funds have raised more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. More new funds are "queuing for admission". According to the data, before the end of the year, more than 20 funds will be launched for sale, and 80% of them are equity funds. Huaxia, Fuguo, Boss and Jing Shun Great Wall all have products waiting to be issued. At the same time, the fund's self-purchase efforts have been increasing. As of December 12, this year, the net subscription amount of equity funds purchased by fund companies has reached 2.894 billion yuan, an increase of 28% over last year. (SSE)Broadcom's share price rose to 15% in the US after hours.Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)

Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.The era of 5G-A is coming, and the head of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology revealed at the China 5G Development Conference held in Shanghai that China has completed the development goal of 5G construction in the 14th Five-Year Plan ahead of schedule. Zhang Yunming said that the 5G network has fully covered key hot spots such as government affairs centers, cultural tourism scenic spots and traffic trunk lines, and has been continuously expanding and deepening to remote rural areas. China's 5G technology industry has built a complete industrial chain covering communication chips, terminals, base station equipment, facilities and meters, and nearly 2,000 5G terminal products have been put on the market. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has held seven 5G application solicitation competitions, with more than 100,000 application cases, and 5G applications have been integrated into 80 of 97 national economic categories. According to the report of Global System for Mobile Communications (GSMA), the mobile ecosystem represented by 5G in China created about 8 million jobs in 2023.Goldman Sachs: Two situations support the view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70. Goldman Sachs: We find that when the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of $60/barrel, the supply response measures of the United States will increase, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) tends to extend the production reduction around the current price level, which supports our view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70/barrel.